Marseille vs AJ Auxerre: Predictions and Tips for November 8

Ligue 1 2024-2025 | Matchweek 11
| 8 Nov 2024-7:45 pm
Marseille
Marseille
l d w l w
1 : 3
Full Time
Auxerre
Auxerre
w l w d w
Goals
10'
Goal
L. Sinayoko (Assistant: D. Léon)
43'
Goal
45'
Goal
H. Traorè (Assistant: G. Perrin)
Goal (from penalty)
65'
Cards
Yellow Card
60'
Yellow Card
66'
66'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
87'
88'
Yellow Card

Marseille will play AJ Auxerre at the Stade Vélodrome on Friday in another thrilling Ligue 1 encounter.

Continue reading for our Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre predictions, as well as the best available odds.

Marseille’s Recent Form

Marseille enters this match looking to replicate their recent success, coming off a 2-1 victory against FC Nantes. In that game, they had 74% possession and recorded 9 shots, with 4 hitting the target. Neal Maupay (24′) and Mason Greenwood (61′) were the goal scorers, while Tino Kadewere (39′) netted for Nantes.

Defensively, Marseille has struggled lately, having conceded 8 goals in their last 6 matches. As they prepare for this fixture, they will need to tighten their defense to avoid further leaks.

Leading into this match, Marseille:

  • Remains unbeaten against AJ Auxerre in their last 7 encounters.
  • Has not won at home in their last 2 league matches.

AJ Auxerre’s Recent Form

AJ Auxerre arrives at this clash after a dominant 4-0 win over Rennes. They controlled 39% possession but managed to take 16 shots, with 8 resulting in goals. Gaëtan Perrin (27′, 39′), Lassine Sinayoko (65′), and Ado Onaiwu (92′) were the scorers for Auxerre.

The team has shown an impressive attacking display lately, averaging 3.83 goals per match over their last 6 games. However, their defense has allowed 9 goals during that stretch.

Historically, AJ Auxerre:

  • Has struggled away against Marseille, failing to win in their last 3 league matches at Stade Vélodrome.
  • Is winless in their last 6 away league games.

Head-to-Head Record

Since May 1, 2011, AJ Auxerre has faced Marseille 12 times without a victory, with Marseille winning 67% of those encounters. A total of 16 goals have been scored in these matches, with Marseille netting 12 and Auxerre 4, resulting in an average of 2.67 goals per game.

In their last meeting on April 30, 2023, Marseille triumphed 2-1 over AJ Auxerre, having 70% possession and 26 shots, while AJ Auxerre managed 11 shots, with Birama Touré (33′) scoring their only goal.

Team News: Marseille

Marseille will be without Faris Moumbagna, Rubén Blanco, and Valentín Carboni for this match. Coach Roberto De Zerbi is expected to set up a 4-2-3-1 formation featuring Gerónimo Rulli, Michael Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Quentin Merlin, P. Emil Højbjerg, Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood, Amine Harit, Luis Henrique, and Elye Wahi.

Team News: AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre coach Christophe Pélissier had a small team for this game, with Paul Joly, Nathan Buayi-Kiala, and Lasso Coulibaly out due to injuries. Donovan Leon, Théo Pellenard, Gabriel Osho, Clément Akpa, Ki-Jana Hoever, Elisha Owusu, Kévin Danois, Gideon Mensah, Gaetan Perrin, Hamed Junior Traorè, and Theo Bair are all expected to play in a 3-4-2-1 system. 

Match Prediction

Considering all factors, we anticipate that AJ Auxerre will find the net against Marseille, but they may struggle to secure a favorable result. Our prediction is a 2-1 win for Marseille, with both teams scoring in what is expected to be a closely contested match.

Best Odds for the Match

According to current bookmaker odds, the best bet for a Marseille victory is at 1.38, while a draw is priced at 5.1 and an AJ Auxerre win offers odds of 7.3. These are the most attractive betting options available at the moment.

Match Prediction
Marseille
Auxerre
Prediction
Double chance : Marseille or draw
Who Will Win
45%
45%
10%
Team comparison
41% Current Form 59%
40% Attacking 60%
50% Defensive 50%
60% Poisson Distribution 40%
93% Head-to-Head 7%
79% Goals 21%
60.5% Total 39.5%
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 Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction Tips November 08, 2024

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