Top fantasy baseball draft picks for the 2024 MLB season, according to one analyst

It’s the early stages, and we haven’t even answered the most crucial NFL question yet: How often will Taylor Swift make an appearance on TV during the Super Bowl? However, it’s not too premature for me to hold some strong views on the approaching 2024 fantasy baseball season. After dedicating several weeks to formulating my individual statistical forecasts for over 500 players, I’ve identified a handful of individuals who are currently underrated in the initial draft market.

Fantasy baseball enthusiasts are gearing up for the 2024 season, strategizing and evaluating players to draft for their teams. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll delve into 10 players who should be on your radar, each offering unique strengths and potential fantasy value. From power-hitting first basemen to promising young talents and reliable pitchers, this list aims to provide a well-rounded perspective on building a winning fantasy baseball roster.

Baseball expert picks, predictions, and tips

Pete Alonso, 1B, New York Mets:

Pete Alonso stands out as a prime candidate for early-round consideration. Recognized for his prolific power, Alonso has consistently delivered impressive home run numbers since his rookie season in 2019. If your team lacks power, Alonso could be the solution to address this deficiency. Reflecting on the 2023 season and assessing your team’s weaknesses is a valuable strategy for making informed draft choices.

Royce Lewis, 3B, Minnesota Twins:

Despite facing challenges with injuries in the previous season, Royce Lewis showcased his potential as a former No. 1 overall pick in the MLB Draft. While some luck may have contributed to his performance, Lewis has the tools to have a stellar sophomore season if he stays healthy. With the potential for 30 homers, 100 RBIs, 15 steals, and a solid batting average, Lewis is a player worth considering for fantasy managers looking to bolster their lineup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr., OF, Miami Marlins:

Jazz Chisholm Jr. emerges as a tantalizing option, especially in Yahoo leagues where the waiver wire is often fruitful. Despite limited appearances in the past two seasons, Chisholm has accumulated an impressive 33 homers and 34 steals. If he can avoid the injured list, the 26-year-old has the potential to become a coveted 30-30 player, making him a valuable addition to fantasy rosters.

TJ Friedl, OF, Cincinnati Reds:

In a roster filled with exciting young hitters, TJ Friedl stands out as a potential sleeper pick. With a solid .352 OBP in the previous season, Friedl earned most of his plate appearances in the top two lineup spots. The 28-year-old’s effectiveness against same-sided pitchers and the potential for a 20-30 season with 90 runs scored make him a valuable target for fantasy managers seeking good value.

Nolan Gorman, 2B, St. Louis Cardinals:

Nolan Gorman’s production in the previous season displayed some inconsistency, but his overall numbers were impressive, finishing with 27 homers and 76 RBIs. Having achieved balanced splits, Gorman is likely to stay out of a platoon role, making him a viable option for fantasy managers expecting continued growth from the 23-year-old second baseman.

Logan Webb, SP, San Francisco Giants:

Logan Webb may not be the flashiest option, but his consistent performance and improvements in key metrics make him an exciting choice as a No. 2 starter. Webb’s increased whiff rate, reduced walk rate, and ability to induce ground balls contribute to his strong surface stats, making him a reliable asset for fantasy teams.

Zach Eflin, SP, Tampa Bay Rays:

Rays pitchers have a reputation for outperforming expectations, and Zach Eflin is no exception. Coming off a career-best season with a 3.50 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and a 26.5% K-rate, Eflin’s advanced metrics suggest the potential for an even better campaign in the upcoming season. Fantasy managers looking for a pitcher who could exceed expectations should consider targeting Eflin.

Bailey Ober, SP, Minnesota Twins:

Bailey Ober’s ability to consistently produce a low WHIP makes him an appealing middle-round target for fantasy drafts. Despite concerns about his fly-ball-heavy profile, Ober’s track record suggests that many of these hits result in routine fly balls. The right-hander’s lifetime 1.11 WHIP and the potential for sustained success make him a valuable addition to fantasy rotations.

Chris Sale, SP, Atlanta Braves:

Chris Sale’s inclusion on this list comes with a caveat, as his draft value may skyrocket based on his performance in spring training. However, if he remains an attractive option in the later rounds, Sale represents a high-ceiling choice. With a remarkable career ERA, WHIP, and strikeout rate, the 34-year-old left-hander could be a valuable asset for fantasy teams willing to take a calculated risk.

Craig Kimbrel, RP, Baltimore Orioles:

Closing out our list is Craig Kimbrel, a reliable closer with a track record of effectiveness. Without an IL stint since 2019, Kimbrel’s 2023 performance with the Phillies showcased his ability to maintain a low ERA, impressive WHIP, and a high strikeout rate. Now leading the bullpen for the Baltimore Orioles, Kimbrel could be a valuable