Super Bowl 2024: 49ers vs. Chiefs Stats

You’re not alone if you’re a casual bettor seeking to place wagers on the Super Bowl at BetMGM. Following last season’s record-breaking Super Bowl between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles, which attracted the highest number of bets in history, it is anticipated that bettors will stake millions on the upcoming Feb. 11 clash between the Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers.

For those who don’t identify as sharp bettors or could use a quick refresher on how both teams performed against the spread and the over/under during the 2023 season, here’s a brief betting guide for you in preparation for the game.

American Football | League Scores & Updates.

Super Bowl LVIII

Favorite: San Francisco 49ers -2

Over/under: 47.5

Moneyline: San Francisco -130, Kansas City +110

San Francisco 49ers

Overall Record (including postseason): 14-5

Against the Spread (ATS) Record (including postseason): 9-10

Regular-season ATS Record: 9-8

Postseason ATS Record: 0-2

ATS Record as a Favorite: 9-10

ATS Record as an Underdog: 0-0

Over/Under Record: 11 overs, 8 unders

To clarify, the 49ers have been favored in every game this season, maintaining this streak heading into the Super Bowl unless there’s a significant shift in the line favoring the Chiefs.

The 49ers started the season as a strong team against the spread, going undefeated and 4-1 ATS. Their only ATS loss occurred in a seven-point victory over the Los Angeles Rams when the spread was 7.5 points.

However, the 49ers experienced a downturn as the season progressed. They were favored in all three games during a three-game losing streak, dropping them to a 5-3 record before a decisive 31-point win over the Jaguars as a three-point favorite.

During the regular season, the 49ers didn’t engage in many close contests. Only four games were decided by single digits, with the 49ers losing three by one score and winning just one. This trend shifted in the postseason, where San Francisco failed to cover in two games as significant favorites. The 49ers staged comebacks against the Packers and the Lions, winning by three points each. They closed as a 10.5-point favorite against Green Bay and a 7.5-point favorite against the Lions.

Kansas City Chiefs

Overall Record (including postseason): 14-6

Against the Spread (ATS) Record (including postseason): 12-7-1

Regular-season ATS Record: 9-7-1

Postseason ATS Record: 3-0

ATS Record as a Favorite: 9-7-1

ATS Record as an Underdog: 3-0

Over/Under Record: 6 overs, 14 unders

Contrary to the 49ers’ struggles against the spread, the Chiefs have emerged as the fourth-best team in the NFL against the number this season, showcasing a remarkable turnaround for a team that historically faced challenges in this regard.

The Chiefs’ postseason performance significantly contributes to their ATS success. They comfortably covered as 4.5-point favorites against the Dolphins at home and secured outright victories as road underdogs against the Bills and the Ravens.

Kansas City has covered in five consecutive games, marking a stark improvement from a four-game stretch in December where they went 0-3-1 ATS. Interestingly, the lone push in that period coincided with the Chiefs’ only win as they defeated the Patriots 27-17 as 10-point favorites.

The Chiefs’ performance against the total is noteworthy for a playoff team, with only two teams (the Los Angeles Chargers and Carolina Panthers) recording a worse percentage of overs this season. Both those teams had losing records at 5-12 against the over/under. If the Super Bowl trends towards the under, the Chiefs will conclude the season with the highest percentage of unders among all NFL teams in the 2023 season.

This outcome is not surprising, given the Chiefs’ well-known offensive challenges and the team’s outstanding defensive performance. As of Feb. 11, Kansas City stands out as the only team in the league to prevent an opponent from scoring 30 points throughout the season.